In a recent analysis of MLB player props, attention is drawn to several key player performances and betting opportunities. Anthony Santander's recent struggles at the plate are highlighted, as he has been one of the worst performers in baseball over the past week, including a challenging matchup against Garrett Crochet. Meanwhile, Miles Mikolas is noted for his declining strikeout ability, facing challenges against Cincinnati's lineup, which has historically hit well against him. Spencer Steer emerges as a promising bet, given his recent uptick in performance and success against Mikolas in previous encounters. These insights are part of a broader strategy to identify valuable betting opportunities in MLB games, leveraging player statistics and historical performance data.

Anthony Santander has been struggling significantly, with only one hit and seven strikeouts in 14 at-bats over the last week, and is making hard contact on only 37% of his at-bats, which is 5% below his career average.

Santander's challenges are compounded by his upcoming matchup against Garrett Crochet, against whom he is 0-for-6 with four strikeouts, while Crochet boasts a strong start to the season with a 1.95 ERA.

Miles Mikolas has shown a marked decline in strikeout performance, managing three or fewer strikeouts in all but one of his five starts, and registering a mere 6.0% swing and miss rate.

The Cincinnati Reds have had considerable success against Mikolas, with a .300/.325/.558 slash line over 77 at-bats and a low 16.8% strikeout rate when facing him.

Spencer Steer is highlighted as a favorable betting option due to his recent form, including hits in four of his last five games and a strong 6-for-12 record against Mikolas, featuring a home run and multiple extra-base hits.

The betting strategy focuses on identifying player prop bets based on current form, historical matchups, and statistical trends to maximize potential returns.

Alex Payton, the analyst providing these insights, has a background in sports betting content production and aims to offer valuable information to fans and bettors alike.

We split our player prop picks yesterday, and feel pretty unfortunate about the final result. Our top selection was Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases, and while he reached base on four separate occasions, three times were the result of walks.

It’s back to the drawing board on Tuesday, and up first is a fade of one of the Blue Jays newest hitters. Anthony Santander looked like a future Hall-of-Famer in his first week in Toronto, but ever since then, the wheels have fallen off.

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MLB Player Prop Picks for April 29

Anthony Santander Under 0.5 Hits (+120 at DraftKings)

Over the last week, Santander has been one of the worst full-time regulars in baseball. He’s slashing 0.71/.235/.286, with just one hit and seven strikeouts in 14 at-bats.

Going back two weeks, the results are nearly as bleak. He’s posted only 7 hits in 43 at-bats, with a 28% strikeout rate.

Santander is making hard contact on just 37% of his at-bats, down 5% from his career average. He’s swinging and missing on 11.5% of his hacks, a 2% jump from his lifetime average.

To make matters worse, he faces Garrett Crochet tonight, a pitcher he’s had no success against previously. Santander is 0-for-6 all-time against Crochet, striking out four times. The Red Sox lefty is off to a fantastic start in 2025, posting a 1.95 ERA, with 44 K’s in only 37 innings of work.

Miles Mikolas Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-110 at DraftKings)

Next up, we’re going back to fading St. Louis’ Miles Mikolas. The right-hander is allergic to strikeouts these days, fanning three or fewer batters in all but one of his five starts. He’s posted 2 Ks or less in three of his past four outings, and is generating a pathetic 6.0% swing and miss rate.

Also working against him is that he has been hit hard by Tuesday’s opponent, Cincinnati, in the past. Reds batters are slashing .300/.325/.558 versus Mikolas over 77 at-bats, striking out at just a 16.8% mark.

Spencer Steer Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125 at DraftKings)

No Cincy batter has had more success against Mikolas than Spencer Steer, and he’s our third target today. We’re betting over 1.5 total bases for Steer at juicy +125 odds.

The 27-year-old started the season slowly, but lately he’s been heating up. He’s posted hits in four of his last five games, with three multi-hit performances during that stretch. Steer is 6-for-12 all-time against Mikolas, with a home run, two extra-base hits, and 4 RBI.