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Every NFC Team’s Best and Worst-Case Scenario for 2025

Hunter Tierney 's profile
Original Story by Wave News
August 4, 2025
Every NFC Team’s Best and Worst-Case Scenario for 2025

Predicting how an NFL season will shake out is always a mess — in the best way. No matter how much tape you watch, how many stats you dive into, or how confident the preseason narratives sound, every team has a few different versions of how their season could actually play out. That’s the beauty of it.

You’ve got teams with Super Bowl expectations, others just hoping their young quarterback pans out, and a bunch in between trying to figure out which way they’re heading. So instead of planting a flag with win total predictions or wild declarations, we’re laying out the full spectrum — best and worst case scenarios for every NFC squad heading into 2025.

NFC North

Detroit Lions

Best-Case Scenario:

This team has everything it needs to finally take that last step. If Jared Goff keeps clicking with Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Sam LaPorta — and the offensive line holds steady despite some turnover — the Lions can still be one of the NFL’s most explosive offenses. John Morton stepping in as the new offensive coordinator doesn’t disrupt much, and the playcalling fits Goff’s strengths. 

On defense, if Aidan Hutchinson stays healthy and young guys like Terrion Arnold and Ennis Rakestraw hit the ground running, this could be one of the league’s most balanced teams. With Dan Campbell at the helm and that gritty identity still intact, Detroit could ride its talent and continuity to a top seed and a real shot at the Super Bowl.

Worst-Case Scenario:

There’s a world where the Lions still make the playoffs — but it doesn’t feel nearly as exciting. If Goff regresses under a new OC or struggles behind a shuffled offensive line without Frank Ragnow, the offense could slip from elite to inconsistent. 

The defense, meanwhile, might not replace what Aaron Glenn brought, especially in the secondary. If that group doesn’t come together, and there’s no true pass rush threat opposite Hutchinson, the defense could drag this team down. Detroit probably doesn’t bottom out entirely, but a 10–7 wild-card type season followed by another early playoff exit would feel like a major letdown.

Minnesota Vikings

Dec 22, 2024; Seattle, Washington, USA; Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) catches a pass against the Seattle Seahawks during the second half at Lumen Field.
Credit: Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

Best-Case Scenario:

In a perfect world, the Vikings’ offseason swings all connect. J.J. McCarthy steps in and immediately looks like a poised game manager who doesn't try to do too much — just gets the ball to his playmakers and lets them cook. With guys like Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, T.J. Hockenson, and Aaron Jones around him, plus a much-improved interior offensive line, the offense hums without asking McCarthy to be a hero. 

Meanwhile, the defense under Brian Flores continues its aggressive approach and adds serious firepower up front with Jonathan Allen and Javon Hargrave. That pressure makes life easier on a secondary that ends up being better than expected, and suddenly, Minnesota is being carried by their defense all the way to an appearance in the Super Bowl.

Worst-Case Scenario:

If McCarthy isn't ready for the spotlight, this whole thing could go sideways fast. The O-line is brand new inside, and if that unit doesn't gel — or if aging pieces like Ryan Kelly break down — McCarthy could be under constant pressure. 

Flores’ defense still brings heat, but the back end might not hold up, especially if guys like Isaiah Rodgers and Jeff Okudah can’t stay on the field. Add in a questionable safety group and a run game that might stall out, and the team could end up looking lost more often than not. That’s how you end up in the basement of the division and wondering if you made the right move at quarterback.

Green Bay Packers

Best-Case Scenario:

The Packers are the youngest team in the league, but they’ve got real momentum. Jordan Love builds off his hot finish last season and takes another step forward, cleaning up his turnovers and playing clean. The young receiver group led by first-rounder Matthew Golden becomes one of the most explosive in the NFC, and the run game finds consistency behind Josh Jacobs. If the offensive line stabilizes, Love will have time to cook — and LaFleur’s offense can be dangerous.

Defensively, Lukas Van Ness breaks out, and the new-look corner group holds up better than expected. Add in continued growth from guys like Rashan Gary and Edin Cooper, and this unit has top-10 potential. If everything clicks, the Packers could be one of the most dangerous teams in the NFC and a legitimate contender to crash the NFC title picture.

Worst-Case Scenario:

I don't see a world where the bottom completely falls out for this team, but things could still stall. Love could be streaky, and if his turnover issues resurface, it’ll be tough to survive in a deep NFC North. The offensive line is still a question mark, and if it doesn’t improve, Love might spend too much time under duress. Golden and the other young weapons might still be a year or two away from any real consistency.

The defense has pieces, but they’re relying on unproven guys in the secondary and need a true pass rush presence outside of Gary. If those things don’t come together, they might find themselves right around .500 — not bad, but disappointing for a team hoping to level up. A year missing the playoffs in Love’s prime would sting. 

Chicago Bears

Jan 5, 2025; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) during the game against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.
Credit: Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images

Best-Case Scenario:

The Bears don’t need to be perfect this year — they just need to show real signs of growth. Caleb Williams starts to look every bit like the franchise guy they drafted him to be. He plays clean, smart football, shows off that elite arm talent, and makes fans believe he's the best QB to come out of his draft class. Ben Johnson’s arrival as head coach pays off immediately and his system fits Williams’ strengths, finally bringing some stability to the offense. With a revamped interior offensive line and new weapons like Luther Burden III and Colston Loveland, the offense starts to hum, maybe even cracking the top 10.

On the other side of the ball, Dennis Allen gets the most out of this defense. The run defense takes a big step forward, and the secondary — led by Jaylon Johnson — holds its own. If all the pieces click, the Bears aren’t just more competitive, they’re in the Wild Card mix, maybe even sneaking into the postseason if things break their way.

Worst-Case Scenario:

This thing could spiral quickly if the offense stalls out. If Williams doesn’t take a big step forward and the offensive line — despite all the changes — can’t keep him clean, it’s going to be a long year. Williams’ play style invites hits, and if he’s reckless with the ball or himself, the offense could sputter. And while the talent is there at receiver, none of it matters if Williams is running for his life or not seeing the field clearly.

Defensively, things aren’t much more comforting. The safety group could be shaky, especially with Byard aging and Brisker’s injury history. If one of the top linebackers goes down, depth becomes a problem fast. In this version of the season, the Bears land in familiar territory — near the bottom of the NFC, with more questions than answers about their coach, quarterback, and rebuild.

NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles

Best-Case Scenario:

It’s not exactly a bold take to say the Eagles could win it all — they’ve got that kind of roster. Despite some departures, Philly managed to reload, and Jalen Hurts enters 2025 with that same edge we’ve come to expect. If the offense stays dominant, with the line holding up and a third receiver emerging behind A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, Hurts can shoulder more of the passing load and thrive. Saquon Barkley doesn’t need to carry the offense, but he's certainly shown that he can.

Defensively, Vic Fangio’s scheme takes full root, and young guys like Jalen Carter and Nolan Smith level up. If the secondary with Quinyon Mitchell and Cooper DeJean holds its own and the defensive front wreaks havoc, Philly’s not just winning the NFC East — they’re winning the Super Bowl again.

Worst-Case Scenario:

The floor for this team is still relatively high, but things could definitely go sideways. Barkley had a massive workload in 2024, and if his body starts to wear down, the offense could get out of rhythm fast. That puts more on Hurts — who’s already dealing with another new offensive coordinator — and we’ve seen that movie before.

On defense, they’ve lost some key pieces, and if the replacements don’t step up, there’s room for regression. The depth behind their promising young corners could get exposed. The Eagles still probably make the playoffs, but anything short of a deep run would feel like a wasted opportunity for a team built to win now.

Washington Commanders

Dec 22, 2024; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (5) celebrates after throwing a touchdown during the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia Eagles at Northwest Stadium.
Credit: Credit: Peter Casey-Imagn Images

Best-Case Scenario:

The Commanders showed enough last year to make you believe the ceiling could be ridiculously high. If Jayden Daniels avoids the dreaded sophomore slump and picks up right where he left off, this offense might be one of the league’s most dangerous. Deebo Samuel proving to be the perfect running mate for Terry McLaurin, Laremy Tunsil shoring up the offensive line, and continued buy-in under Dan Quinn could give this team the juice to make a deep playoff push. Maybe even a Super Bowl one, if everything really clicks.

On defense, it doesn’t need to be elite — just good enough to protect leads. If the new additions in the secondary like Jonathan Jones, Trey Amos, and Will Harris hold their own, and the pass rush is solid, this could be a complete enough roster to make real noise.

Worst-Case Scenario:

Daniels isn’t bad, but he hits a wall. Whether it’s the typical Year 2 struggles or teams starting to figure him out, the offense takes a step back — especially if Deebo Samuel fails to stay healthy or looks like a lesser version of himself. Even with Tunsil on board, if the offensive line falters or the supporting cast doesn’t hold up their end, Daniels might be forced to play hero ball too often, and that could get dicey.

Defensively, the concerns are more subtle but still real. The secondary has talent, but it's patchwork, and if they can't hold up or Dan Quinn can't work his usual magic, the defense could wind up being a liability. The Commanders hover around the playoff picture all season but come up short. They’re too talented to completely collapse, but missing the playoffs after last year’s promise would still feel like a gut punch.

Dallas Cowboys

Best-Case Scenario:

Everything finally clicks in Dallas. Dak Prescott, reinvigorated by Jerry Jones’ investments — most notably George Pickens and Tyler Booker — thrives under new coach Brian Schottenheimer. The offensive line, once a major strength, finds new life behind a breakout from Tyler Guyton, strong rookie play from Cooper Beebe, and smart development from Booker. With CeeDee Lamb continuing to play at an elite level and Pickens providing explosive support, the passing game becomes one of the most dangerous in the league.

Defensively, Micah Parsons leads a dominant unit (after getting a massive extension) with DaRon Bland and Trevon Diggs locking things down in the secondary. The run defense finally holds up thanks to scheme adjustments. If the Cowboys put it all together, they can reach the NFC Championship game — something that would calm years of playoff failure talk and validate their bold roster moves.

Worst-Case Scenario:

This season could get messy fast. If Pickens clashes with Lamb or Prescott, and Micah Parsons grows frustrated over stalled contract talks, the locker room could spiral. Schottenheimer, who wasn't exactly a hot commodity for head coach jobs, might lose the room if early adversity strikes.

The offensive line could be a glaring weakness, with three young starters and no Zack Martin. If that group can’t gel, Dak may have a tough time getting the ball off, and George Pickens — outside of Pittsburgh’s structure — could become a distraction. If the gambles in the draft all flop, Dallas risks unraveling completely. Combine that with health concerns in the secondary and a porous run defense, and the Cowboys could end up out of the playoff picture entirely — sparking a circus in Dallas and a full-on rebuild conversation.

New York Giants

Apr 24, 2025; Green Bay, WI, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions defensive end Abdul Carter is selected by the New York Giants as the number three pick in the first round of the 2025 NFL Draft at Lambeau Field.
Credit: Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Best-Case Scenario:

The best thing that could happen for the Giants this year is finally solving the quarterback riddle. Jaxson Dart doesn’t even need to win a bunch of games — he just needs to prove he’s the real deal. Brian Daboll gets some of his old shine back as a QB whisperer, and the offense becomes feisty enough to keep opponents honest. The Giants don’t have to win the division — just being able to go toe-to-toe with the top-teir teams would be progress.

On defense, the front seven looks nasty. Kayvon Thibodeaux, Brian Burns, and rookie Abdul Carter form a scary trio off the edge, and Dexter Lawrence is still wrecking pockets up the middle. If those guys stay healthy and the revamped secondary (led by Jevon Holland and Paulson Adebo) holds its own, this group could be one of the league’s best at getting after the quarterback. Combine that with just a little bit of offensive consistency, and the Giants could turn some heads.

Worst-Case Scenario:

We’ve seen this movie before. The Giants give multiple quarterbacks a shot, and none of them look like the answer. Russell Wilson plays just well enough to keep Dart on the bench early, but not well enough to win anything meaningful. Then when Dart finally gets his shot, it’s a little too soon, and the rookie struggles. Now you’ve got a potential franchise QB who’s been rattled, and a team with no clear plan moving forward.

Meanwhile, the defense doesn’t dominate like they hoped. The run defense is still leaky, which means the pass rush never gets to pin its ears back. Abdul Carter needs time to adjust, and the secondary — even with upgrades — doesn’t fully click. Young stars like Malik Nabers start questioning the direction of the team, and the vibes are bad.

NFC South

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Best-Case Scenario:

The Bucs come out swinging and remind everyone why they shouldn’t be counted out. With so much continuity from last season and Baker Mayfield getting even more comfortable, Tampa Bay starts hot and never looks back. New offensive coordinator Josh Grizzard keeps the momentum going from Liam Coen’s 2024 scheme, and Baker thrives as a fearless, aggressive passer — the kind of guy who can get hot and carry a team through the postseason like a modern-day Flacco or Eli.

Defensively, Haason Reddick rediscovers his sack-happy form, and he, Calijah Kancey, and Yaya Diaby team up to create one of the most effective front sevens in the NFC. Vita Vea anchors a dominant run defense, and Todd Bowles' aggressive play-calling finally pays off with more balance and fewer blitzes. If all goes well, the Bucs not only make the playoffs — they make a deep run, maybe even contending for a Super Bowl.

Worst-Case Scenario:

Things could unravel quickly if the wrong injuries hit or Mayfield’s risk-taking ways catch up to him. The Bucs aren’t exactly young, and if veterans like Evans or Godwin miss time, the whole structure could falter. Mayfield might revert to old habits, forcing balls into traffic or trying to do too much under pressure. Grizzard’s offense might not mesh the same way Coen’s did, and if that happens, the unit could take a major step back.

On defense, the wear and tear shows. If Vita Vea declines or misses time, the run defense collapses and rookies are asked to do too much too soon. Reddick might not bounce back, and Bowles' defensive scheme could feel outdated if the pass rush doesn’t mask its weaknesses. In that case, the Bucs are still competitive, but closer to .500 and stuck in no man’s land — not bad enough to rebuild, not good enough to contend.

Atlanta Falcons

Dec 22, 2024; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) celebrates after a victory over the New York Giants at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Credit: Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Best-Case Scenario:

If Michael Penix Jr. hits the ground running in his first full year as the starter, the Falcons could look like one of the league’s sneaky playoff threats. Penix has the arm talent to be an explosive downfield thrower, and with a strong offensive line, Drake London, and Bijan Robinson — who could be in the "best RB in football" conversation — the group around him is ready to win now.

On defense, everything hinges on the pass rush finally arriving. If rookie edge-rushers Jalon Walker and James Pearce Jr. step up quickly and Leonard Floyd continues to produce, Atlanta might actually start getting to the quarterback — something that’s been missing for what feels like a decade. That pressure would give their shaky secondary a fighting chance, and suddenly the Falcons aren’t just fun — they’re a legitimate threat to win the NFC South and maybe even steal a playoff win. That would be a huge step forward for a franchise that’s felt stuck for years.

Worst-Case Scenario:

Penix looks overwhelmed, the pass rush is still nonexistent, and the Falcons crash back to earth. If Penix plays like a rookie — forcing throws, misfiring deep, or just not seeing the field — it’ll be a long season. Their aggressive draft strategy over the last few years will come under scrutiny fast, especially if both Walker and Pearce struggle with the transition. Walker’s raw tools may not translate right away, and Pearce’s boom-or-bust profile could prove to be all bust, especially against the run. Without any pressure up front, the already suspect secondary might collapse entirely.

This is a make-or-break year for the Falcons' front office, and the pressure is on. If those high-risk draft swings flop and the team stumbles — without even owning their next first-round pick — it won't be an easy hole to crawl out of. Add in the dead money from Kirk Cousins’ contract, and it’s easy to see a future where Atlanta finishes with five or six wins, no clear QB of the future, and a regime under fire.

Carolina Panthers

Best-Case Scenario:

I don't think anyone's expecting the Panthers to make any real noise in 2025, but there’s a path where they overachieve and sneak into the playoff hunt. It starts with Bryce Young carrying over his confident finish from last season and finally looking like the guy Carolina drafted him to be. He plays calm, the stats match the film, and he becomes a legitimately good starting quarterback. Rookie Tetairoa McMillan steps up as a go-to target, and Xavier Legette starts showing why he was a top pick. Add in a solid run game led by Chuba Hubbard, and this offense could quietly be above average.

Defensively, the interior trio of Derrick Brown, Bobby Brown III, and Tershawn Wharton wreaks havoc up front, controlling the line of scrimmage and helping rookies Nic Scourton and Princely Umanmielen flash off the edge. If those young pass-rushers can at least be serviceable, the defense might surprise people. Combine all that, and the Panthers might flirt with a 9–8 record and stay alive in the wild card race until the end.

Worst-Case Scenario:

It all unravels if Bryce Young regresses. If he starts the season like he did last year — indecisive, skittish in the pocket, and prone to mistakes — this team will be in trouble fast. Confidence is everything for Young, and if he starts second-guessing himself again, he could fall apart. The receiver room, still lacking proven difference-makers, won’t help him much if rookies like McMillan don’t flash right away and Thielen starts showing his age.

On defense, the interior might hold its own, but if the edge rushers don’t develop, the unit could still fall apart. There’s very little proven production on the outside, and if D.J. Wonnum or Patrick Jones II can’t stay healthy or productive, it could leave the secondary constantly exposed. That’s how the Panthers wind up with another top-five pick.

New Orleans Saints

Sep 8, 2024; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; New Orleans Saints offensive tackle Taliese Fuaga (75) and defensive end Cameron Jordan (94) head to the locker room after the game against the Carolina Panthers at Caesars Superdome.
Credit: Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

Best-Case Scenario:

The Saints are in a weird spot — too old, too expensive, and not really built to win. But there’s a version of this season where it all plays out in their favor long-term. Tyler Shough looks competent enough to have some trade value down the road, but the rest of the team crumbles just enough for New Orleans to land the No. 1 overall pick.

That’s the cleanest path to a real reset: get rid of aging contracts, go young, and finally draft a true franchise quarterback. If their revamped offensive line — with Kelvin Banks Jr. and Taliese Fuaga holding down the edges and Trevor Penning moving inside — actually gels, it at least gives their future QB a line worth building around.

Worst-Case Scenario:

The absolute nightmare for New Orleans is a classic NFL purgatory season. Shough flashes just enough to win a few close games, aging vets make a few key plays, and they stumble into six or seven wins. That lands them with a mid-round draft pick — not good enough to grab a blue-chip QB and not bad enough to justify blowing it all up. Kellen Moore fails to identify a long-term QB solution between Shough and Spencer Rattler, and the young offensive line doesn't develop quickly enough to be helpful. Meanwhile, the defense keeps sliding under Brandon Staley, with stars like Cameron Jordan clearly past their prime and no young talent stepping up. Instead of rebuilding or contending, the Saints end up stuck — again — in the middle with no clear direction.

NFC West

Los Angeles Rams

Best-Case Scenario:

The Rams’ path to contention is clear — it just takes a lot of things breaking right. If Matthew Stafford stays healthy and plays like the guy we saw in their Super Bowl run, this offense has the firepower to be special. Davante Adams and Puka Nacua could be the best receiving tandem he's had in years, and if Kyren Williams puts together another strong season behind a functional offensive line, this group could easily crack the top 10. Pair that with Sean McVay’s play-calling and a potential Stafford swan song, and you’ve got a team with a real shot to win it all.

Defensively, they’ll lean on young studs like Jared Verse, Braden Fiske, and Kobie Turner to continue anchoring things down. If that trio clicks and the defense can continue its upward trajectory from late last season, the Rams might have enough on both sides of the ball to make another deep playoff run — maybe even another ring for Stafford before he rides off.

Worst-Case Scenario:

But there’s a wide drop if things don’t go right. If Stafford’s age finally catches up to him — and the offensive line proves fragile — the Rams could find themselves in real trouble. Jimmy Garoppolo is waiting in the wings, but that’s not exactly a reassuring fallback. The offensive line lacks depth, and if guys like Alaric Jackson or Rob Havenstein go down, things could spiral quickly.

On defense, there’s promise up front but major concerns elsewhere. The secondary is thin, the linebacker corps is unproven, and if the young pass rushers don’t keep progressing, the whole unit could collapse. This version of the Rams finishes at the bottom of the NFC West.

Seattle Seahawks

Jun 11, 2025; Renton, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold (14) passes the ball during mini-camp at Virginia Mason Athletic Center.
Credit: Credit: Stephen Brashear-Imagn Images

Best-Case Scenario:

If Sam Darnold builds on the flashes he showed last season and settles into Klint Kubiak’s West Coast scheme, the Seahawks might just have something cooking. Darnold doesn’t have to be elite — just efficient, confident, and turnover-free.

With Jaxon Smith-Njigba emerging, and Cooper Kupp turning back the clock, this offense could surprise people. Add in a young, improving O-line and a defense under Mike Macdonald that becomes greater than the sum of its parts, and Seattle could ride a balanced team all the way to the NFC Championship Game. It’s not the most likely outcome, but it’s not outlandish either.

Worst-Case Scenario:

Darnold flames out. The bad habits from his Jets days creep back in, and behind a shaky interior O-line, he starts pressing. If the offense stagnates, and the defense doesn’t take a step forward under Macdonald, things unravel quickly.

Their offseason changes — including moving on from Geno Smith and DK Metcalf — could start to look like a massive misstep. If this team can’t generate a consistent pass rush or protect their QB, it’s not hard to see them sliding into the bottom of the NFC, staring down a top-6 draft pick and a search for a true franchise quarterback.

Arizona Cardinals

Best-Case Scenario:

The Cardinals take a real leap. Kyler Murray finally looks like the version of himself Arizona fans have been waiting for, playing truly dynamic football behind a much-improved offensive line. Marvin Harrison Jr. explodes in year two, living up to the "generational" hype and becoming one of the league’s premier receivers. With strong protection and an efficient run game led by James Conner, this offense becomes one of the most explosive in the NFL.

Even if the defense doesn’t turn elite overnight, the unit becomes stingy enough to protect leads thanks to a rebuilt defensive line that includes Josh Sweat, Calais Campbell, and a group of hungry young rookies. Jonathan Gannon gets buy-in from the whole locker room, and the Cardinals make their first playoff run since 2021 — maybe even win a game or two.

Worst-Case Scenario:

The upside talk fizzles out fast. Kyler looks shaky and inconsistent, the line struggles to protect him, and Arizona’s weapons outside of Harrison don’t do enough to help. The run game can’t carry the load, and the offensive rhythm is never really there.

On the other side, the heavy investment in the defensive line doesn’t pay off — Campbell shows his age, rookies don’t develop quickly, and the unit stays at the middle-of-the-pack at best. If Murray isn’t playing well and the defense is still leaky, Arizona could find itself stuck in NFL purgatory — not bad enough to draft high, not good enough to contend, and facing some really hard questions about the future at quarterback.

San Francisco 49ers

Dec 8, 2024; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy (13) reacts after rushing for a touchdown against the Chicago Bears in the second quarter at Levi's Stadium. The play was later called back for offensive holding.
Credit: Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

Best-Case Scenario:

The 49ers could win the whole damn thing. If they stay healthy and avoid last year’s wear and tear, this team is absolutely capable of another deep playoff run — maybe finishing it off with a Super Bowl this time. Brock Purdy keeps proving the doubters wrong, running Kyle Shanahan’s system to perfection while spreading the ball around to Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle, and Ricky Pearsall. Christian McCaffrey continues to be a cheat code, and the offensive line, while not elite, holds up well enough to let the playmakers shine.

On the other side, the defense finds its stride again. Nick Bosa bounces back to form, Fred Warner anchors the middle, and Robert Saleh’s return as defensive coordinator helps reignite the energy and discipline the unit lacked at times last year. Add in meaningful contributions from young guys like Mykel Williams or Alfred Collins, and you’ve got a complete roster that could win 12+ games and be firmly in the contender mix.

Worst-Case Scenario:

Injuries and regression knock the Niners back to earth. Trent Williams finally starts to show his age, and the offensive line becomes a real issue. Purdy takes a step back — whether it’s due to pressure, defensive adjustments, or just natural limitations — and the offense sputters if McCaffrey misses time or the wideouts can’t consistently separate. If Ricky Pearsall isn’t ready for a full-time role, the offense will find itself being too reliant on YAC magic and it could get frustrating fast.

Defensively, Saleh’s return isn’t enough to patch the holes. Bosa and the pass rush don’t generate consistent pressure, the secondary gets exposed, and the defense becomes a middle-of-the-pack unit instead of a difference-maker. In that version, the 49ers still have talent, but they limp to 9-8 and either sneak into the playoffs or miss them entirely — not a collapse, but definitely a letdown for a team that still feels like it’s still in win-now mode.

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