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Why the Economic Disruption From Trump’s Tariff War Will Be Hard to Reverse

The New York Times's profile
The New York Times
2h ago

In a short span, President Trump has significantly disrupted the global economic order, creating changes that could be difficult to reverse. His actions have led to a trade war, the dismantling of treaties, and a shift in alliances, prompting countries to form partnerships that exclude the United States. China's influence is growing as it positions itself as a leader of free trade, benefiting from Trump's policy reversals and creating opportunities in regions like Africa and Southeast Asia. The erosion of U.S. international trust and the weakening of federal research capabilities further threaten America's global standing and scientific competitiveness. Despite the possibility of political change in the U.S., the deep structural shifts initiated by Trump's administration suggest a lasting impact on global geopolitics and economics.

Why the Economic Disruption From Trump’s Tariff War Will Be Hard to Reverse

President Trump's administration has instigated significant economic disruptions, including provoking a trade war, scrapping international treaties, and weakening U.S. commitment to traditional alliances. This has resulted in global uncertainty and a reconfiguration of international relationships.

Countries like those in the European Union and South America are forming large trade zones that exclude the United States, while Canada and the EU are working on defense pacts to reduce reliance on the U.S., reflecting a move towards self-reliance and new alliances.

China is capitalizing on the U.S.'s protectionist policies, positioning itself as a stable leader in free trade, particularly appealing to emerging economies in Latin America, Asia, and Africa. China's Belt and Road Initiative is strengthening its influence in Africa, especially in securing mineral rights.

The undermining of federal research funding in the U.S. is leading to a potential brain drain, as scientists and researchers seek opportunities elsewhere. This threatens America's future technological and scientific advancements and competitive edge.

The changes initiated by Trump's administration are creating lasting impacts that may not be easily reversed, even with a change in political leadership. The erosion of trust and the structural shifts in global alliances signal a significant transformation in the international order.

The dismantling of U.S. international aid and diplomatic missions contrasts sharply with China's strategic investments, further highlighting the shift in global influence from the U.S. to China.

The uncertainty and policy chaos under Trump's administration have provided immense opportunities for China to strengthen ties with regions like Southeast Asia, as U.S.-imposed tariffs create economic shifts.

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