President Trump's relationship with President Zelensky of Ukraine has taken a tumultuous turn, initially resulting in a tense meeting in Washington that led Trump to side more closely with Russia's President Putin. However, a recent economic deal between the U.S. and Ukraine, giving the U.S. a stake in Ukraine's mineral revenues, has revitalized optimism in Kyiv. Trump's frustration with Putin's persistent demands and lack of progress in peace negotiations has shifted his focus back to supporting Ukraine, with Zelensky skillfully navigating these diplomatic waters. The Vatican meeting between Trump and Zelensky marked a thawing of tensions, aided by European leaders who acted as mediators. Despite these developments, Trump's historically favorable view of Putin and fluctuating diplomatic strategies leave the future of U.S.-Ukraine relations uncertain, with potential impacts on U.S. aid and the broader geopolitical landscape.

Following a disastrous Oval Office encounter where President Zelensky was banished by President Trump, Trump's skepticism towards U.S. support for Ukraine intensified, leading to a proposed peace plan that heavily favored Russian interests, causing concern among Ukraine's allies.

An economic deal between the Trump administration and Ukraine, providing the U.S. a stake in Ukraine's mineral revenues, has sparked new optimism in Kyiv, suggesting a potential shift in the U.S. administration's approach towards supporting Ukraine.

Trump's recent criticism of Putin, coupled with his impatience over the lack of progress in peace talks, indicates a growing frustration with the Russian leader, contrasting with his previous attempts to appease Putin and suggesting a possible realignment of U.S. diplomatic efforts.

A significant meeting between Trump and Zelensky at the Vatican, facilitated by European leaders, has improved their relationship, with both sides portraying the session positively and Trump condemning Russia's recent attacks on Ukraine shortly thereafter.

Despite these positive developments, Trump's historical favoritism towards Putin and his variable diplomatic strategies contribute to uncertainty regarding future U.S. support for Ukraine, especially if peace negotiations stall and Trump decides to reduce U.S. involvement.

The Trump administration's internal divisions on policy towards Russia and Ukraine add complexity to the situation, with differing views among Trump's advisers influencing the direction of U.S. foreign policy.

There is a looming risk for Trump in potentially 'losing' Ukraine if he decides to withdraw U.S. support, which could lead to severe geopolitical consequences reminiscent of previous U.S. foreign policy challenges.