New Reports on Russian Interference Show Trump’s Claims on Obama Are Overblown
Context:
Recent reports released by the Trump administration aim to refute the 2017 intelligence assessment that suggested Russian interference in the 2016 U.S. election favored Trump over Clinton. The administration claims that former President Obama manipulated intelligence to discredit Trump, with Trump and his allies making bold accusations of treason against Obama. The contested assessment, which included disputed elements like the Steele dossier, attributed Russia's motives to undermining democracy, damaging Clinton, and supporting Trump. Despite the administration's claims, the intelligence assessment process was rushed, involving direct involvement from senior officials and contentious use of intelligence sources. While the administration's narrative is overstated, some newly declassified details reveal the complexity and nuances behind the intelligence community's findings on Russian election interference.
Dive Deeper:
The Trump administration has published reports challenging the conclusion that Russia favored Trump's candidacy in the 2016 election, accusing Obama of manipulating intelligence, with claims of treason and criminal referrals against former Obama officials.
The January 2017 assessment, which infuriated Trump, concluded that Russia's interference included hacking Democratic emails and spreading pro-Trump messages on social media, with motives of undermining democracy and damaging Clinton.
The administration's critique focuses on the rushed and controlled nature of the assessment's production, involving direct roles of CIA and FBI leaders, and the controversial inclusion of the Steele dossier, which was part of Democratic-funded opposition research.
The newly disclosed material reveals that a summary of the Steele dossier was appended to the assessment, complicating the narrative that it wasn't used, and highlights internal disagreements among intelligence agencies regarding its inclusion.
The reports argue that the intelligence community's judgment of Russia supporting Trump was based on limited sources and should have been given 'moderate confidence' rather than 'high confidence,' with no challenge to the overall best reading of available evidence.
Trump's accusations and the administration's overstated claims contrast sharply with the nuanced findings, as subsequent investigations and reports, including from the Senate Intelligence Committee, have supported the assessment's conclusions on Russian motivations.
The administration's narrative, while sensationalized, does not address subsequent developments like Putin's 2018 admission of supporting Trump, and critics argue that the narrative ignores the complexity of the intelligence community's decision-making process.